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Risk / Reward Calculator.

Trading is a probability game. Risk-to-reward decides whether your edge actually pays — even a 40%-win strategy is profitable at 1:2 R:R, and a 60%-win strategy still bleeds at 1:0.4. Enter your entry, stop, target and position size below and the calculator returns the ratio, the dollar risk and reward, and the win rate you'd need just to break even. Use it before every trade. If the R:R doesn't justify the win rate you can realistically deliver, skip the setup.

Inputs

The trade idea

Direction: Long

Pip size: 0.0001

Result

Trade quality

Risk / Reward1 : 2.33
Breakeven win rate30.0%Long-term, before costs
Dollar risk$300.0030.0 pips × $10.00/pip
Dollar reward$700.0070.0 pips × $10.00/pip
Expected value @ 50% wins$200.00
How it works

The maths behind expectancy

Two metrics matter: how often you win and how much you make when you do versus when you don't. R:R captures the second. Combined with win rate it gives expectancy — the average dollars per trade you can expect over a large sample.

Formulas

R:R = |Target − Entry| ÷ |Entry − Stop|

BreakevenWinRate = 1 ÷ (1 + R:R)

  • 1:1 R:R needs more than 50% win rate to be profitable after costs.
  • 1:2 R:R only needs ~33% — comfortable for trend-following setups.
  • 1:3 R:R only needs ~25% — runner trades, breakout continuations.
  • Always include spread and commission when planning — they shrink R:R on small stops.
Pair with structure

Good R:R lives at structural levels.

Trade where the stop is small and the target is meaningful. See the framework we use.

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