Live from the desk.
Real-time trade notes, market reads, and teaching — published as the session unfolds. No filler, no recycled commentary. Just what we're watching and why it matters before the move.
- Market Note
Weekly outlook: FOMC week, DXY at a decision point
Heads up for the week ahead — FOMC on Wednesday plus NFP on Friday means two-way risk on USD pairs. We're watching DXY 104.20 as the line in the sand: a clean break invalidates the bearish thesis on EURUSD and GBPUSD. Gold remains the clean…
Read - Trade Update
XAUUSD long — TP1 secured, stop to breakeven
Our XAUUSD buy from 2342.50 tagged TP1 at 2348 in the NY session. Stop moved to entry (breakeven) on the remaining runner targeting 2354 and 2362. If price returns to the 2344 area on light volume we'll consider partial re-entry; otherwise…
Read - Education
Why we cap risk at 1% per trade (and you should too)
Risk-per-trade isn't about being conservative — it's about staying in the game long enough for your edge to play out. At 1% risk, a 10-loss streak costs you ~9.5% of account equity (compounding works against you on losses). At 3% risk, the…
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